旧/新决策不同的实际回放片段
2026-09-25T04:00:00+00:00 1000PEPEUSDT
旧:hold The 4h close remains below EMA20 at 0.00448096, and the hourly close remains below EMA50 at 0.00447882. The 15m rebound rejected 0.0044551 and closed at 0.0044184; upside before that high is insufficient against a stop below 0.0043736, while nearby support constrains shorts. Positive 15m MACD alone does not confirm reversal.
新:open_long Passive range-base rebound entry at 0.004393. This is countertrend to the declining recent 4h structure below EMA20 0.00448096, not a broader reversal. Closed 15m candles defended 0.0043736–0.0043763, formed a higher low at 0.004385, and recovered above 0.004411; latest close and mark remain above the 0.004385 validity trigger. Stop 0.004363 sits below the entire base. Target 0.00445 precedes the first unbroken recent high at 0.0044551 and offers approximately 1.41R after costs at the limit price.
已成交分支的平仓净损益:297.2896241386755
2026-09-25T05:00:00+00:00 ZECUSDT
旧:hold The 4h close is above EMA20 at 1530.71 and hourly price remains above EMA20/50, but two declining hourly closes and a negative 15m MACD histogram weaken pullback confirmation. Mark 1542.48 is barely above confirmed 15m support at 1542.01; recent resistance at 1555.8 precedes 1562.69–1564.4. No confirmed support recovery justifies buying, and immediate support obstructs a countertrend short.
新:open_long Passive trend-pullback entry at 1535: the 4h recovery holds above EMA20 1530.71, and confirmed 1h lows rose from 1521.65 to 1532.06. Closed 15m candles previously defended 1532.06–1535.16 and recovered to 1556.63. Stop 1527 invalidates that higher-low setup. First overhead reaction high is 1555.8; target 1553 yields approximately 1.56R after modeled costs. Latest close 1543.13 and mark 1542.48 remain above trigger 1532.06. This trades the recovery range, without assuming a breakout through 1562.69–1574.99.
已成交分支的平仓净损益:334.18216215701256
2026-09-25T11:00:00+00:00 SOLUSDT
旧:hold The 4h close confirms a breakout above the prior 119.99 range high, but the hourly close is already 2.81 ATR above EMA20 at 117.217. Three declining 15m closes follow the 122.21 spike, with the recent 121.72 lower high opposing renewed upside. A fresh retest hold or consolidation break is needed; current price does not justify chasing or fading the stronger trend.
新:open_long Passive breakout pullback at 120: the 4h and 1h closes cleared the prior 4h range high 119.99, while subsequent 15m candles held above 120.26. Buy a return to the reclaimed 119.68–119.99 zone; stop 119.35 sits below that zone and the prior hourly high 119.58, invalidating breakout support. Conservatively use the latest 15m reaction high 121.22 as the first obstacle, ahead of 121.72 and 122.21. Target 121.18 provides approximately 1.24R after costs. Latest close and mark exceed trigger 119.68; positive MACD supports the structural evidence.
已成交分支的平仓净损益:-212.62943572591377
2026-09-25T17:00:00+00:00 1000PEPEUSDT
旧:hold The 4h recovery failed below EMA20 0.004479, while hourly price remains below EMA20 0.00445373 and MACD histogram has turned negative. The 15m rebound remains beneath 0.004463 and confirmed resistance 0.0044819. Unbroken support 0.0044044 obstructs shorts, leaving insufficient reward against a stop beyond the rebound structure.
新:open_short Passive failed-rebound short: the recent 4h recovery was rejected below EMA20 0.004479, within a prior 24-bar decline of 10.479%. Hourly price remains below EMA20 and EMA50; closed 15m candles rejected 0.0044819 and subsequently formed a lower hourly high at 0.004463. Sell a rebound to 0.00447 while below trigger 0.0044819. Stop 0.004495 sits above the rejection high and invalidates that setup. The first unbroken confirmed support is 0.0044044; target 0.00441 stays ahead of it and offers approximately 1.72R after costs. This follows the recent decline without asserting reversal of the longer-term advance.
已成交分支的平仓净损益:-76.6000350090568
2026-09-25T20:00:00+00:00 WLDUSDT
旧:hold The 4h advance and hourly breakout above 0.4647 remain intact, but the latest 15m candle closed at 0.4762 after the 0.4895 spike, back below 4h swing resistance 0.4774–0.4795. Live price 0.4773 leaves virtually no reward before 0.4774. Positive MACD does not establish acceptance above resistance; wait for a fresh retest or consolidation. No confirmed broader reversal supports a short.
新:open_long Passive breakout-pullback long at 0.4705: rising 4h closes above EMA20 0.440728 support the hourly breakout above 0.4711. Closed 15m candles advanced from the 0.469 launch low; the latest close 0.4762 and mark 0.4773 remain above trigger 0.469. Stop 0.4675 sits below that launch base, invalidating its defense. The first overhead obstacle is the 4h swing 0.4774, reclaimed intrahour but lost by the latest close. Target 0.477 stays before it and yields approximately 1.60R after modeled costs. The limit improves geometry following the rejection from 0.4895.
已成交分支的平仓净损益:-206.84484631121433
2026-09-25T21:00:00+00:00 1000PEPEUSDT
旧:hold The recent 4h recovery failed below 0.0046148, and hourly price is below EMA20/50 at 0.00445496/0.00447119. Negative 15m momentum follows rejection from 0.0045115, but the 0.0044226 mark is almost on fresh support at 0.0044222. That support has no confirmed closing break; shorts lack room and longs lack a confirmed reclaim.
新:open_short Passive failed-breakout rebound short at 0.004487. The recent 4h correction remains below EMA20 0.00447841, and the hourly close is below EMA20 0.00445496. Closed 15m candles briefly cleared 0.0044869, reached 0.0045115, then fell back to 0.0044309, providing fresh rejection evidence beyond the earlier losing short. Latest close and mark 0.0044226 remain below trigger 0.0045115. Stop 0.004524 clears both that rejection high and earlier 15m resistance 0.0045219. First downside obstacle is unbroken 15m support 0.0044222; target 0.004424 exits before it. Net reward is approximately 1.31R at the limit price; the current market price offers insufficient room.
已成交分支的平仓净损益:-202.70794938499003
2026-09-25T21:00:00+00:00 ZECUSDT
旧:hold The failed 4h breakout above 1574.99 has developed into hourly weakness below EMA20/50 at 1553.09/1547.44. Recent 15m lower highs support that direction, but the immediate low at 1525.01 and hourly support at 1521.65 obstruct shorts before 1512.45. Selling at 1530 would chase the decline with insufficient reward before support; no reversal structure supports buying.
新:open_short Passive failed-rebound short at 1553, near 1h EMA20 1553.09 and the closed 15m rebound high 1553.9. This trades a local correction within the larger uptrend: 4h candles rejected 1625.91 and subsequently made a lower low at 1512.45, while hourly rebounds failed at 1564.97. Latest 1h/15m close 1529.81 and mark 1530 are below trigger 1564.97. Stop 1569 clears that rebound high and invalidates the rejection thesis. Recent support at 1530.49–1532.06 has closed below; the first remaining recent downside obstacle is the 15m low 1525.01. Target 1527 stays ahead of it, providing approximately 1.31R after 0.14% costs at the limit price.
已成交分支的平仓净损益:-49.682527011053054
2026-09-26T01:00:00+00:00 HYPEUSDT
旧:hold The 4h lower highs at 94.744 and 94.342 keep this a corrective rebound, with hourly price still below EMA50 at 92.582. The latest 15m candle rejected 92.567, but shorting mark 91.99 leaves too little reward before confirmed support at 91.591 relative to a stop above that rejection; longs lack reversal confirmation.
新:open_short Passive failed-rebound short at 92.52. Although the 30-day structure remains higher, recent closed 4h highs descend from 94.744 to 94.342 to 92.806, with the last close below EMA20 92.8309. The latest hourly rebound remains below EMA50 92.582; the final 15m candle rejected 92.567 and closed at 92.124. This targets a local correction, not a confirmed long-term reversal. Stop 92.94 clears the confirmed 1h/15m rejection high 92.806 and invalidates the broader failed rebound. First confirmed support is 15m 91.591; target 91.65 provides approximately 1.35R net of costs. Both latest close and mark 91.99 remain below trigger 92.806. Recent short losses favor requiring this resistance-area fill rather than selling near support.
已成交分支的平仓净损益:290.1264545433745
2026-09-26T07:00:00+00:00 WLDUSDT
旧:hold The 4h uptrend and 1h price above EMA20 support a potential pullback long, but closed 15m candles remain below newly confirmed resistance at 0.4848. From mark 0.4837, that obstacle offers only 0.23% gross reward, insufficient after costs. A meaningful stop below 0.4756 worsens the ratio; no continuation breakout is confirmed.
新:open_long Passive trend-pullback long at 0.4778, returning to the defended 15m base around 0.4774–0.4782. The 4h close remains above EMA20 0.452575 within the rising 30-day structure; hourly closes recovered from 0.4777 to 0.4798 to 0.4831. Closed 15m candles confirmed the 0.4756 low and subsequently held 0.4795, supporting a base rebound rather than a confirmed breakout. Latest close 0.4831 and mark 0.4837 exceed trigger 0.4756. Stop 0.4744 lies below the base and invalidates its defense. First resistance is the newly confirmed 15m high 0.4848; target 0.4844 yields approximately 1.46R after costs. The earlier breakout-pullback loss reinforces using this actual base for invalidation.
已成交分支的平仓净损益:-203.46266894793666
2026-09-26T17:00:00+00:00 WLDUSDT
旧:hold The 4h breakout above 0.5128 remains intact, but the latest 15m candle rejected 0.5461 and closed at 0.5356 after the rebound from 0.528. That fresh overhead rejection precedes confirmed resistance at 0.5518; allowing a stop below 0.528 leaves inadequate market-entry reward before 0.5461 after costs. The pullback has not established fresh continuation confirmation, and it does not establish a reversal for a short.
新:open_long Passive trend-pullback long at 0.5305. The closed 4h breakout above 0.5128 supports the rising longer structure, and closed 15m candles confirmed support at 0.528 after defending the earlier 0.5256–0.527 base. Latest close 0.5356 and mark 0.5358 remain above trigger 0.5256. Stop 0.523 invalidates that base and gives more structural room than the prior losing tight-stop WLD entries. First overhead reaction is 0.5451, followed by 0.5461; target 0.5445 stays below both and provides approximately 1.61R after costs. The latest rejection favors a passive fill rather than market entry.
已成交分支的平仓净损益:-20.51013856668903
2026-09-26T18:00:00+00:00 ZECUSDT
旧:hold The 4h recovery and 1h close above EMA20 1547.62 support a bullish bias, but the 1584.88 wick failed to produce a close above 15m resistance 1575.97. The latest 15m candle fell to 1560.93, back below the earlier 1564.97 range ceiling. Support at 1555.53 remains intact, but a fresh bullish retest confirmation is absent; positive MACD does not resolve the rejection.
新:open_long Passive higher-low pullback long at 1557. The 4h recovery holds above EMA20 1541.42 within the larger uptrend; hourly price cleared 1554, and confirmed 15m support 1555.53 remains intact after the latest low 1558.28. Stop 1550 sits below that higher low and the 1552.4–1554.12 breakout base. First unbroken 15m resistance is 1575.97: target 1574 realizes approximately 1.61R after costs. The 1584.88 wick was rejected, so this trades the recovery without assuming a breakout. Latest close and mark exceed trigger 1555.53.
已成交分支的平仓净损益:346.9942593357286
2026-09-26T20:00:00+00:00 1000PEPEUSDT
旧:hold Corrective 4h structure and expanding negative 1h/15m MACD support the break below 0.0043504. However, the latest 15m candle rebounded from 0.004255 without retesting broken support; a market short would chase the selloff into nearby lows. A rebound long remains countertrend with overhead resistance around 0.004306–0.0043263 and no reversal confirmation.
新:open_short Passive breakdown-retest short at 0.004355 near broken hourly support 0.0043504. This trades the recent 4h correction within the larger 30-day advance: 4h price remains below EMA20 0.0044579, while the latest hourly and two 15m closes confirm the breakdown. Stop 0.00439 exceeds the 15m highs 0.0043739 and 0.0043872, invalidating the local resistance structure. Latest close 0.0043003 and mark 0.0043023 remain below trigger 0.0043739. Former supports 0.0043263 and 0.0043067 were broken by closes; first unbroken support is 0.0042818. Target 0.004285 offers approximately 1.55R net. This fresh breakdown differs from the earlier failed shorts inside consolidation.
已成交分支的平仓净损益:-203.69010977142463